What Do Experts Forecast for the 2025 Housing Market?

By Shani Lokhnath

Right now, the No. 1 question I’m getting is, “What’s going to happen to the housing market in 2025?” I get it; a lot of people had plans to move this year but put things on hold due to higher mortgage rates and a slowing market. This begs the question: Will 2025 be any different? The short answer is yes, although there probably won’t be a dramatic shakeup that flips the market on its head. Today, I’m going over what the top experts are forecasting for mortgage interest rates, home prices, and buyer demand in 2025. Plus, I’ll share my insights on how you can get ready for these changes before the new year even starts:

1. Mortgage rates will ease slightly. It’s no secret that higher mortgage interest rates have hurt affordability for buyers and caused our market to slow down. U.S. existing home sales hit a 14-year low in September 2024, and one of the biggest reasons why is that would-be buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for rates to drop. While Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac aren’t predicting rates to crash to where they were a few years ago, most experts believe rates will fall below the 6% mark for the first time since Q2 of 2022. Since mortgage rates are a key factor in housing affordability, this is fantastic news for buyers sitting on the fence

2. Sellers are stuck in yesterday’s price. Home prices increased by 30% to 50% after the COVID pandemic, while incomes rose only by 5% to 10%, pricing many buyers out of the market. Inventory in Central Florida has also doubled compared to this time last year, leading to longer days on market and moderate price decreases in some areas. Additionally, we currently have a five-month supply of inventory, which means we are in a balanced market.

3. More buyers will enter the market. Lower interest rates and steady prices mean demand for homes will increase. According to the Senior Economist at Wells Fargo, “Lower financing costs will likely boost demand by pulling affordability-crunched buyers off of the sidelines.” As these buyers enter the market, the pace will speed up. Homes will sell faster, competition will increase, and supply will decrease as more buyers fight over fewer options.

So what does this all mean for you? If you want to sell, 2025 is looking to be a great year for the market, so I recommend you start planning your move now so you can get a head start. On the other hand, buyers need to act fast. There will be a very short window where rates are lower, but home prices haven’t increased yet. If you’d like to plan for 2025, whether you’re looking to sell or buy, please call or email me. I’d love to help you plan your next move!